The real pulse of the Bitcoin cycle.

The NodeWitness Cycle Score: on-chain, transparent, computed against our own node. You know which phase you are in, with what confidence, and why.

NodeWitness Cycle Score: -0.7 — Neutral / Transition
Confidence 100%: share of input data available, not a hit rate. Reading from November 1, 2026; it refreshes to the live value as the page loads.

Verdict & Reasons

We don't ask you to trust us blindly — we show you why. Which indicators pushed the Score up, which pulled it down, and in what order of real influence.

Score DCA vs Traditional DCA

Historical simulation to explore the mechanics of Score DCA versus traditional DCA, with real backtest data -- not investment advice.

How would the Score have performed in past cycles?

How the Score would have behaved in each cycle since 2018, calculated with the same data we already had cached -- not a promise, a verifiable calculation against real history.

Browse the month-by-month history

Key Indicators

Not all metrics carry the same weight: each indicator is weighted by its real historical relevance, not by popularity. These are the top 5 — the full breakdown of all 10 is below.

How to read this, by time horizon

Same Score, three different horizons. Strong accumulation doesn't mean the same thing if you trade in weeks versus if you think in years.

Go deeper

• Bitcoin On-Chain Data Without Paying for Glassnode: What's Free and What Isn't
• Bitcoin Valuation Without the Hype: MVRV, Puell Multiple, and the 200-Day Average
• Bitcoin Buy Signals: What They Actually Measure, and What They Don't
• The Halving Now Adds 450 BTC a Day. A Single ETF Day Moved 26 Times That.
• Auditing the NodeWitness Cycle Score: Where It Failed
• Bitcoin Realized Price Today: $53,145 (Oct 18, 2026), and the 2026 Low Still Never Touched It
• Bitcoin Exchange Reserves: Two Data Providers, Two Very Different Numbers, One Labeling Problem
• Free Bitcoin On-Chain Data, Mapped: MVRV, HODL Waves, and What Still Costs Money
• The Multiple-Testing Lottery: What the Deflated Sharpe Ratio Actually Tells You
• The Score's Liquidity Input Is One Weekly Fed Number: What the H.4.1 Total Assets Line Captures and What It Leaves Out
• Bitcoin's Weekly MACD Crossed Zero. Two of the Last Eight Crosses Were Lower a Year Later.
• At McGlone's $10,000, Nearly 3 in 4 Bitcoin Would Sit at a Loss
• The Bitcoin Cycle Score Built on a Verifiable Node, Not Borrowed APIs
• Bitcoin MVRV Ratio: Why Its Cycle Thresholds Keep Shrinking
• What Every MVRV Z-Score Chart Leaves Out: Sample Depth and Shrinking Extremes
• Bitcoin NUPL: Why It Duplicates MVRV, and When to Read It Anyway
• We Recomputed Every Pi Cycle Top Signal From Scratch. One of Them Breaks the Legend.
• Why Backtests Lie: 5 Real Bugs an External Audit Found Before We Touched the Test Set
• Bitcoin's Realized Price, Computed From Our Own UTXO Set (Known Bias Included)
• 2,255 Strategies, Zero Survivors: A Pre-Registered Backtest Against Dollar-Cost Averaging
• Puell Multiple in Bitcoin: Miner Profitability, the Hash Ribbon, and Cycle Bottoms
• Bitcoin Just Jumped 25% in Two Weeks. Our Own Indicators Don't Look Like a Bottom.
• Bitcoin Capitulation: What the On-Chain Signals Confirm, and What They Don't
• Most SOPR Charts Average the Ratios. Here's Why That's the Wrong Math.
• Bitcoin Cycle Tops and Bottoms: The Pattern — and Where the NodeWitness Cycle Score Missed It
• Sealed Prospective Validation: The Future Is the Only Clean Test Set Left
• Version History of the NodeWitness Cycle Score

All 27 articles in this section →