The NodeWitness Cycle Score in August 2025

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -6.0 (30)
  • Monthly low: -26.9 (13)
  • Average: -16.8
  • Phase changes: 5

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-20.9Moderate Distribution$113,263reconstructed
2-16.4Neutral / Transition$112,522reconstructed
3-16.2Neutral / Transition$114,227reconstructed
4-22.0Moderate Distribution$115,068reconstructed
5-19.1Neutral / Transition$114,138reconstructed
6-17.5Neutral / Transition$115,024reconstructed
7-22.2Moderate Distribution$117,511reconstructed
8-26.4Moderate Distribution$116,677reconstructed
9-23.0Moderate Distribution$116,485reconstructed
10-24.8Moderate Distribution$119,295reconstructed
11-25.7Moderate Distribution$118,716reconstructed
12-24.6Moderate Distribution$120,169reconstructed
13-26.9Moderate Distribution$123,359reconstructed
14-23.7Moderate Distribution$118,388reconstructed
15-16.2Neutral / Transition$117,420reconstructed
16-15.4Neutral / Transition$117,484reconstructed
17-18.9Neutral / Transition$117,456reconstructed
18-17.0Neutral / Transition$116,251reconstructed
19-14.1Neutral / Transition$112,816reconstructed
20-10.0Neutral / Transition$114,263reconstructed
21-11.7Neutral / Transition$112,433reconstructed
22-13.5Neutral / Transition$116,867reconstructed
23-16.7Neutral / Transition$115,372reconstructed
24-11.8Neutral / Transition$113,468reconstructed
25-7.6Neutral / Transition$110,139reconstructed
26-9.2Neutral / Transition$111,803reconstructed
27-11.2Neutral / Transition$111,252reconstructed
28-11.5Neutral / Transition$112,573reconstructed
29-10.4Neutral / Transition$108,371reconstructed
30-6.0Neutral / Transition$108,791reconstructed
31-8.7Neutral / Transition$108,235reconstructed

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