The NodeWitness Cycle Score in July 2025

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -13.7 (1)
  • Monthly low: -26.6 (27)
  • Average: -22.0
  • Phase changes: 3

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-13.7Neutral / Transition$105,706reconstructed
2-14.9Neutral / Transition$108,847reconstructed
3-20.6Moderate Distribution$109,637reconstructed
4-21.1Moderate Distribution$108,026reconstructed
5-18.5Neutral / Transition$108,243reconstructed
6-18.3Neutral / Transition$109,224reconstructed
7-19.9Neutral / Transition$108,301reconstructed
8-15.5Neutral / Transition$108,936reconstructed
9-17.3Neutral / Transition$111,305reconstructed
10-20.9Moderate Distribution$115,994reconstructed
11-21.1Moderate Distribution$117,562reconstructed
12-24.7Moderate Distribution$117,446reconstructed
13-22.5Moderate Distribution$119,095reconstructed
14-23.4Moderate Distribution$119,871reconstructed
15-25.5Moderate Distribution$117,762reconstructed
16-23.3Moderate Distribution$118,748reconstructed
17-24.8Moderate Distribution$119,277reconstructed
18-23.9Moderate Distribution$118,020reconstructed
19-23.3Moderate Distribution$117,923reconstructed
20-22.3Moderate Distribution$117,316reconstructed
21-21.8Moderate Distribution$117,447reconstructed
22-22.7Moderate Distribution$120,001reconstructed
23-23.2Moderate Distribution$118,780reconstructed
24-22.5Moderate Distribution$118,353reconstructed
25-24.8Moderate Distribution$117,648reconstructed
26-25.6Moderate Distribution$117,947reconstructed
27-26.6Moderate Distribution$119,462reconstructed
28-26.4Moderate Distribution$118,037reconstructed
29-23.7Moderate Distribution$117,926reconstructed
30-24.9Moderate Distribution$117,829reconstructed
31-23.9Moderate Distribution$115,754reconstructed

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