The NodeWitness Cycle Score in September 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: +1.8 (29)
  • Monthly low: -53.5 (6)
  • Average: -22.4
  • Phase changes: 5

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-49.8Moderate Distribution$48,863reconstructed
2-50.6Moderate Distribution$49,329reconstructed
3-51.4Moderate Distribution$50,035reconstructed
4-49.3Moderate Distribution$49,947reconstructed
5-51.0Moderate Distribution$51,769reconstructed
6-53.5Moderate Distribution$52,677reconstructed
7-45.6Moderate Distribution$46,809reconstructed
8-31.0Moderate Distribution$46,078reconstructed
9-29.5Moderate Distribution$46,369reconstructed
10-23.9Moderate Distribution$44,848reconstructed
11-17.2Neutral / Transition$45,145reconstructed
12-18.1Neutral / Transition$46,059reconstructed
13-21.4Moderate Distribution$44,969reconstructed
14-17.6Neutral / Transition$47,072reconstructed
15-24.0Moderate Distribution$48,168reconstructed
16-24.3Moderate Distribution$47,785reconstructed
17-20.8Moderate Distribution$47,264reconstructed
18-22.9Moderate Distribution$48,259reconstructed
19-23.5Moderate Distribution$47,249reconstructed
20-16.8Neutral / Transition$42,902reconstructed
21-2.8Neutral / Transition$40,619reconstructed
22-2.7Neutral / Transition$43,605reconstructed
23-7.1Neutral / Transition$44,889reconstructed
24-9.3Neutral / Transition$42,816reconstructed
25-3.5Neutral / Transition$42,742reconstructed
26-3.8Neutral / Transition$43,183reconstructed
27-2.0Neutral / Transition$42,238reconstructed
28+0.7Neutral / Transition$41,011reconstructed
29+1.8Neutral / Transition$41,522reconstructed
30-0.5Neutral / Transition$43,758reconstructed

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