The NodeWitness Cycle Score in August 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -20.9 (4)
  • Monthly low: -53.5 (28)
  • Average: -42.4
  • Phase changes: 0

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-30.9Moderate Distribution$40,001reconstructed
2-24.7Moderate Distribution$39,194reconstructed
3-25.3Moderate Distribution$38,138reconstructed
4-20.9Moderate Distribution$39,750reconstructed
5-27.2Moderate Distribution$40,882reconstructed
6-32.2Moderate Distribution$42,826reconstructed
7-43.5Moderate Distribution$44,634reconstructed
8-44.8Moderate Distribution$43,816reconstructed
9-42.9Moderate Distribution$46,334reconstructed
10-45.8Moderate Distribution$45,608reconstructed
11-43.4Moderate Distribution$45,612reconstructed
12-42.9Moderate Distribution$44,418reconstructed
13-46.7Moderate Distribution$47,834reconstructed
14-49.7Moderate Distribution$47,112reconstructed
15-48.6Moderate Distribution$47,056reconstructed
16-43.9Moderate Distribution$45,983reconstructed
17-40.7Moderate Distribution$44,649reconstructed
18-39.7Moderate Distribution$44,778reconstructed
19-41.5Moderate Distribution$46,735reconstructed
20-44.4Moderate Distribution$49,328reconstructed
21-48.2Moderate Distribution$48,932reconstructed
22-47.4Moderate Distribution$49,336reconstructed
23-51.6Moderate Distribution$49,524reconstructed
24-48.7Moderate Distribution$47,745reconstructed
25-43.5Moderate Distribution$48,972reconstructed
26-43.8Moderate Distribution$46,963reconstructed
27-47.9Moderate Distribution$49,057reconstructed
28-53.5Moderate Distribution$48,898reconstructed
29-51.7Moderate Distribution$48,807reconstructed
30-49.7Moderate Distribution$47,075reconstructed
31-49.3Moderate Distribution$47,156reconstructed

← Previous month · All months · Next month →

See today’s Score · How it is calculated · Where it has failed · Version history