The NodeWitness Cycle Score in July 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -4.4 (2)
  • Monthly low: -32.6 (31)
  • Average: -13.0
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-7.8Neutral / Transition$33,537reconstructed
2-4.4Neutral / Transition$33,857reconstructed
3-13.1Neutral / Transition$34,689reconstructed
4-13.5Neutral / Transition$35,309reconstructed
5-14.4Neutral / Transition$33,748reconstructed
6-11.3Neutral / Transition$34,211reconstructed
7-16.4Neutral / Transition$33,839reconstructed
8-10.0Neutral / Transition$32,877reconstructed
9-10.9Neutral / Transition$33,819reconstructed
10-10.5Neutral / Transition$33,516reconstructed
11-8.5Neutral / Transition$34,228reconstructed
12-9.0Neutral / Transition$33,158reconstructed
13-6.5Neutral / Transition$32,687reconstructed
14-7.1Neutral / Transition$32,815reconstructed
15-6.6Neutral / Transition$31,739reconstructed
16-7.2Neutral / Transition$31,421reconstructed
17-7.5Neutral / Transition$31,521reconstructed
18-9.4Neutral / Transition$31,784reconstructed
19-12.6Neutral / Transition$30,816reconstructed
20-4.6Neutral / Transition$29,790reconstructed
21-5.8Neutral / Transition$32,118reconstructed
22-10.5Neutral / Transition$32,298reconstructed
23-12.3Neutral / Transition$33,582reconstructed
24-13.1Neutral / Transition$34,279reconstructed
25-15.9Neutral / Transition$35,365reconstructed
26-18.1Neutral / Transition$37,318reconstructed
27-23.3Moderate Distribution$39,406reconstructed
28-27.4Moderate Distribution$40,003reconstructed
29-24.7Moderate Distribution$40,006reconstructed
30-29.1Moderate Distribution$42,214reconstructed
31-32.6Moderate Distribution$41,659reconstructed

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