The NodeWitness Cycle Score in October 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -4.6 (1)
  • Monthly low: -52.1 (20)
  • Average: -38.3
  • Phase changes: 3

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Up to August 2026 the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. From August 2026 onwards we store each day the published value, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-4.6Neutral / Transición$43,758reconstructed
2-20.6Distribución Moderada$48,140reconstructed
3-18.5Neutral / Transición$47,727reconstructed
4-22.1Distribución Moderada$48,206reconstructed
5-25.6Distribución Moderada$49,144reconstructed
6-32.1Distribución Moderada$51,506reconstructed
7-35.8Distribución Moderada$55,344reconstructed
8-34.6Distribución Moderada$53,801reconstructed
9-35.2Distribución Moderada$53,867reconstructed
10-40.1Distribución Moderada$55,123reconstructed
11-41.1Distribución Moderada$54,626reconstructed
12-44.2Distribución Moderada$57,452reconstructed
13-42.1Distribución Moderada$56,243reconstructed
14-40.8Distribución Moderada$57,407reconstructed
15-44.8Distribución Moderada$57,398reconstructed
16-49.0Distribución Moderada$61,641reconstructed
17-50.4Distribución Moderada$60,949reconstructed
18-49.6Distribución Moderada$61,546reconstructed
19-49.2Distribución Moderada$61,972reconstructed
20-52.1Distribución Moderada$64,288reconstructed
21-50.0Distribución Moderada$66,064reconstructed
22-44.5Distribución Moderada$62,355reconstructed
23-43.6Distribución Moderada$60,697reconstructed
24-42.0Distribución Moderada$61,277reconstructed
25-42.0Distribución Moderada$60,884reconstructed
26-40.2Distribución Moderada$63,071reconstructed
27-37.9Distribución Moderada$60,345reconstructed
28-36.6Distribución Moderada$58,539reconstructed
29-39.9Distribución Moderada$60,587reconstructed
30-40.0Distribución Moderada$62,249reconstructed
31-37.0Distribución Moderada$61,731reconstructed

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