The NodeWitness Cycle Score in April 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -40.8 (25)
  • Monthly low: -68.4 (15)
  • Average: -59.6
  • Phase changes: 5

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-67.0Strong Distribution$58,737reconstructed
2-67.7Strong Distribution$59,031reconstructed
3-66.1Strong Distribution$57,077reconstructed
4-65.9Strong Distribution$58,207reconstructed
5-64.6Moderate Distribution$59,054reconstructed
6-64.7Moderate Distribution$58,021reconstructed
7-63.7Moderate Distribution$55,947reconstructed
8-62.3Moderate Distribution$58,049reconstructed
9-62.4Moderate Distribution$58,103reconstructed
10-63.0Moderate Distribution$59,774reconstructed
11-66.2Strong Distribution$59,965reconstructed
12-65.2Strong Distribution$59,835reconstructed
13-63.3Moderate Distribution$63,554reconstructed
14-64.7Moderate Distribution$62,969reconstructed
15-68.4Strong Distribution$63,253reconstructed
16-63.5Moderate Distribution$61,456reconstructed
17-58.6Moderate Distribution$60,087reconstructed
18-58.8Moderate Distribution$56,252reconstructed
19-54.2Moderate Distribution$55,703reconstructed
20-59.1Moderate Distribution$56,508reconstructed
21-57.2Moderate Distribution$53,809reconstructed
22-56.0Moderate Distribution$51,732reconstructed
23-51.7Moderate Distribution$51,153reconstructed
24-43.8Moderate Distribution$50,111reconstructed
25-40.8Moderate Distribution$49,076reconstructed
26-41.9Moderate Distribution$54,057reconstructed
27-55.0Moderate Distribution$55,072reconstructed
28-59.1Moderate Distribution$54,884reconstructed
29-53.1Moderate Distribution$53,584reconstructed
30-58.6Moderate Distribution$57,797reconstructed

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