The NodeWitness Cycle Score in March 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -49.0 (1)
  • Monthly low: -79.2 (14)
  • Average: -69.0
  • Phase changes: 3

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-49.0Moderate Distribution$49,618reconstructed
2-67.3Strong Distribution$48,356reconstructed
3-68.9Strong Distribution$50,478reconstructed
4-69.5Strong Distribution$48,449reconstructed
5-70.0Strong Distribution$48,861reconstructed
6-72.8Strong Distribution$48,882reconstructed
7-72.9Strong Distribution$51,170reconstructed
8-74.8Strong Distribution$52,299reconstructed
9-76.0Strong Distribution$54,882reconstructed
10-70.0Strong Distribution$55,997reconstructed
11-71.6Strong Distribution$57,764reconstructed
12-70.5Strong Distribution$57,253reconstructed
13-73.3Strong Distribution$61,259reconstructed
14-79.2Strong Distribution$59,134reconstructed
15-76.9Strong Distribution$55,755reconstructed
16-75.1Strong Distribution$56,872reconstructed
17-74.9Strong Distribution$58,913reconstructed
18-76.1Strong Distribution$57,666reconstructed
19-74.5Strong Distribution$58,075reconstructed
20-77.7Strong Distribution$58,086reconstructed
21-72.6Strong Distribution$57,411reconstructed
22-68.7Strong Distribution$54,205reconstructed
23-63.6Moderate Distribution$54,478reconstructed
24-60.6Moderate Distribution$52,508reconstructed
25-56.9Moderate Distribution$51,416reconstructed
26-55.4Moderate Distribution$55,075reconstructed
27-60.9Moderate Distribution$55,864reconstructed
28-64.7Moderate Distribution$55,784reconstructed
29-63.5Moderate Distribution$57,628reconstructed
30-63.8Moderate Distribution$58,730reconstructed
31-67.4Strong Distribution$58,735reconstructed

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