The NodeWitness Cycle Score in February 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -51.4 (1)
  • Monthly low: -72.5 (23)
  • Average: -63.8
  • Phase changes: 6

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-51.4Moderate Distribution$33,523reconstructed
2-54.2Moderate Distribution$35,530reconstructed
3-56.5Moderate Distribution$37,676reconstructed
4-56.3Moderate Distribution$37,002reconstructed
5-59.3Moderate Distribution$38,279reconstructed
6-61.4Moderate Distribution$39,323reconstructed
7-60.7Moderate Distribution$38,928reconstructed
8-63.5Moderate Distribution$46,364reconstructed
9-66.4Strong Distribution$46,590reconstructed
10-65.0Neutral / Transition$44,878reconstructed
11-66.0Strong Distribution$48,013reconstructed
12-66.8Strong Distribution$47,471reconstructed
13-68.8Strong Distribution$47,185reconstructed
14-67.5Strong Distribution$48,720reconstructed
15-66.6Strong Distribution$47,952reconstructed
16-67.1Strong Distribution$49,160reconstructed
17-69.6Strong Distribution$52,118reconstructed
18-64.8Moderate Distribution$51,608reconstructed
19-68.0Strong Distribution$55,917reconstructed
20-67.3Strong Distribution$56,001reconstructed
21-71.2Strong Distribution$57,488reconstructed
22-72.3Strong Distribution$54,123reconstructed
23-72.5Strong Distribution$48,880reconstructed
24-65.9Strong Distribution$50,625reconstructed
25-67.0Strong Distribution$46,800reconstructed
26-56.4Moderate Distribution$46,340reconstructed
27-58.0Moderate Distribution$46,156reconstructed
28-54.8Moderate Distribution$45,114reconstructed

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