The NodeWitness Cycle Score in May 2021

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -26.5 (30)
  • Monthly low: -72.7 (9)
  • Average: -46.3
  • Phase changes: 3

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-65.3Strong Distribution$57,858reconstructed
2-65.5Strong Distribution$56,611reconstructed
3-62.4Moderate Distribution$57,213reconstructed
4-63.6Moderate Distribution$53,242reconstructed
5-57.9Moderate Distribution$57,473reconstructed
6-64.3Moderate Distribution$56,428reconstructed
7-66.0Strong Distribution$57,380reconstructed
8-69.8Strong Distribution$58,929reconstructed
9-72.7Strong Distribution$58,281reconstructed
10-69.6Strong Distribution$55,884reconstructed
11-63.1Moderate Distribution$56,750reconstructed
12-62.8Moderate Distribution$49,007reconstructed
13-46.4Moderate Distribution$49,702reconstructed
14-41.7Moderate Distribution$49,923reconstructed
15-40.1Moderate Distribution$46,737reconstructed
16-37.3Moderate Distribution$46,442reconstructed
17-43.4Moderate Distribution$43,596reconstructed
18-39.0Moderate Distribution$42,912reconstructed
19-33.8Moderate Distribution$36,964reconstructed
20-32.7Moderate Distribution$40,784reconstructed
21-31.4Moderate Distribution$37,280reconstructed
22-29.1Moderate Distribution$37,528reconstructed
23-26.9Moderate Distribution$34,755reconstructed
24-29.6Moderate Distribution$38,729reconstructed
25-34.1Moderate Distribution$38,411reconstructed
26-35.1Moderate Distribution$39,266reconstructed
27-36.1Moderate Distribution$38,445reconstructed
28-30.4Moderate Distribution$35,690reconstructed
29-28.2Moderate Distribution$34,648reconstructed
30-26.5Moderate Distribution$35,685reconstructed
31-31.4Moderate Distribution$37,311reconstructed

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