The NodeWitness Cycle Score in February 2018

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -18.5 (5)
  • Monthly low: -54.2 (17)
  • Average: -38.2
  • Phase changes: 2

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-31.5Moderate Distribution$9,098reconstructed
2-27.0Moderate Distribution$8,853reconstructed
3-39.3Moderate Distribution$9,225reconstructed
4-31.3Moderate Distribution$8,202reconstructed
5-18.5Neutral / Transition$6,925reconstructed
6-21.0Moderate Distribution$7,712reconstructed
7-32.1Moderate Distribution$7,585reconstructed
8-32.4Moderate Distribution$8,245reconstructed
9-41.3Moderate Distribution$8,689reconstructed
10-45.5Moderate Distribution$8,561reconstructed
11-29.5Moderate Distribution$8,068reconstructed
12-38.1Moderate Distribution$8,896reconstructed
13-33.7Moderate Distribution$8,528reconstructed
14-45.8Moderate Distribution$9,472reconstructed
15-51.4Moderate Distribution$10,034reconstructed
16-49.0Moderate Distribution$10,179reconstructed
17-54.2Moderate Distribution$11,086reconstructed
18-48.2Moderate Distribution$10,393reconstructed
19-49.9Moderate Distribution$11,172reconstructed
20-53.6Moderate Distribution$11,246reconstructed
21-43.6Moderate Distribution$10,486reconstructed
22-36.5Moderate Distribution$9,851reconstructed
23-36.3Moderate Distribution$10,171reconstructed
24-30.3Moderate Distribution$9,700reconstructed
25-32.7Moderate Distribution$9,582reconstructed
26-36.7Moderate Distribution$10,320reconstructed
27-41.5Moderate Distribution$10,629reconstructed
28-38.7Moderate Distribution$10,332reconstructed

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