The NodeWitness Cycle Score in January 2018

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -52.8 (31)
  • Monthly low: -99.4 (6)
  • Average: -78.5
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-88.5Strong Distribution$13,375reconstructed
2-96.8Strong Distribution$14,794reconstructed
3-96.2Strong Distribution$15,039reconstructed
4-97.3Strong Distribution$15,170reconstructed
5-98.0Strong Distribution$16,915reconstructed
6-99.4Strong Distribution$17,156reconstructed
7-98.8Strong Distribution$16,193reconstructed
8-93.2Strong Distribution$14,963reconstructed
9-89.7Strong Distribution$14,437reconstructed
10-91.4Strong Distribution$14,883reconstructed
11-85.5Strong Distribution$13,286reconstructed
12-85.7Strong Distribution$13,791reconstructed
13-86.2Strong Distribution$14,246reconstructed
14-82.9Strong Distribution$13,584reconstructed
15-80.6Strong Distribution$13,554reconstructed
16-71.2Strong Distribution$11,307reconstructed
17-71.7Strong Distribution$11,091reconstructed
18-72.5Strong Distribution$11,175reconstructed
19-73.1Strong Distribution$11,507reconstructed
20-80.7Strong Distribution$12,745reconstructed
21-71.7Strong Distribution$11,513reconstructed
22-66.1Strong Distribution$10,771reconstructed
23-65.4Strong Distribution$10,832reconstructed
24-66.3Strong Distribution$11,392reconstructed
25-63.9Moderate Distribution$11,151reconstructed
26-62.8Moderate Distribution$11,094reconstructed
27-64.6Moderate Distribution$11,431reconstructed
28-64.2Moderate Distribution$11,742reconstructed
29-60.1Moderate Distribution$11,186reconstructed
30-54.7Moderate Distribution$10,083reconstructed
31-52.8Moderate Distribution$10,204reconstructed

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