The NodeWitness Cycle Score in May 2019

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -9.1 (2)
  • Monthly low: -33.7 (29)
  • Average: -22.3
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-12.3Neutral / Transition$5,327reconstructed
2-9.1Neutral / Transition$5,390reconstructed
3-15.5Neutral / Transition$5,657reconstructed
4-15.5Neutral / Transition$5,771reconstructed
5-14.1Neutral / Transition$5,718reconstructed
6-10.9Neutral / Transition$5,684reconstructed
7-12.6Neutral / Transition$5,756reconstructed
8-11.6Neutral / Transition$5,937reconstructed
9-15.7Neutral / Transition$6,147reconstructed
10-17.6Neutral / Transition$6,348reconstructed
11-22.6Moderate Distribution$7,248reconstructed
12-22.5Moderate Distribution$6,979reconstructed
13-29.3Moderate Distribution$7,823reconstructed
14-29.7Moderate Distribution$7,993reconstructed
15-30.5Moderate Distribution$8,207reconstructed
16-29.0Moderate Distribution$7,886reconstructed
17-20.6Moderate Distribution$7,362reconstructed
18-20.7Moderate Distribution$7,265reconstructed
19-26.8Moderate Distribution$8,194reconstructed
20-27.3Moderate Distribution$8,007reconstructed
21-24.9Moderate Distribution$7,953reconstructed
22-22.8Moderate Distribution$7,626reconstructed
23-22.0Moderate Distribution$7,880reconstructed
24-21.3Moderate Distribution$8,003reconstructed
25-23.3Moderate Distribution$8,071reconstructed
26-28.0Moderate Distribution$8,744reconstructed
27-31.2Moderate Distribution$8,770reconstructed
28-32.5Moderate Distribution$8,720reconstructed
29-33.7Moderate Distribution$8,663reconstructed
30-32.7Moderate Distribution$8,272reconstructed
31-25.7Moderate Distribution$8,554reconstructed

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