The NodeWitness Cycle Score in April 2019

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -4.8 (30)
  • Monthly low: -25.7 (8)
  • Average: -17.4
  • Phase changes: 10

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-5.8Neutral / Transition$4,153reconstructed
2-18.5Neutral / Transition$4,883reconstructed
3-22.2Moderate Distribution$4,960reconstructed
4-17.1Neutral / Transition$4,911reconstructed
5-21.1Moderate Distribution$5,029reconstructed
6-21.2Moderate Distribution$5,054reconstructed
7-25.4Moderate Distribution$5,189reconstructed
8-25.7Moderate Distribution$5,269reconstructed
9-22.0Moderate Distribution$5,176reconstructed
10-22.7Moderate Distribution$5,310reconstructed
11-24.0Moderate Distribution$5,035reconstructed
12-11.8Neutral / Transition$5,073reconstructed
13-19.2Neutral / Transition$5,065reconstructed
14-12.6Neutral / Transition$5,153reconstructed
15-19.6Neutral / Transition$5,036reconstructed
16-14.9Neutral / Transition$5,197reconstructed
17-19.8Neutral / Transition$5,220reconstructed
18-22.2Moderate Distribution$5,276reconstructed
19-21.2Moderate Distribution$5,277reconstructed
20-18.5Neutral / Transition$5,309reconstructed
21-22.4Moderate Distribution$5,282reconstructed
22-18.8Neutral / Transition$5,377reconstructed
23-20.0Neutral / Transition$5,518reconstructed
24-24.3Moderate Distribution$5,434reconstructed
25-16.1Neutral / Transition$5,196reconstructed
26-8.7Neutral / Transition$5,293reconstructed
27-6.2Neutral / Transition$5,280reconstructed
28-7.7Neutral / Transition$5,301reconstructed
29-7.4Neutral / Transition$5,261reconstructed
30-4.8Neutral / Transition$5,270reconstructed

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