The NodeWitness Cycle Score in December 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -16.8 (31)
  • Monthly low: -38.9 (1)
  • Average: -30.9
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-38.9Moderate Distribution$97,274reconstructed
2-36.0Moderate Distribution$95,857reconstructed
3-34.7Moderate Distribution$95,942reconstructed
4-35.0Moderate Distribution$98,769reconstructed
5-34.3Moderate Distribution$97,080reconstructed
6-29.8Moderate Distribution$99,888reconstructed
7-32.6Moderate Distribution$99,914reconstructed
8-35.9Moderate Distribution$101,180reconstructed
9-34.8Moderate Distribution$97,466reconstructed
10-33.8Moderate Distribution$96,654reconstructed
11-32.1Moderate Distribution$101,192reconstructed
12-34.6Moderate Distribution$100,041reconstructed
13-31.7Moderate Distribution$101,468reconstructed
14-34.7Moderate Distribution$101,404reconstructed
15-34.1Moderate Distribution$104,342reconstructed
16-35.4Moderate Distribution$106,059reconstructed
17-35.7Moderate Distribution$106,156reconstructed
18-29.7Moderate Distribution$100,157reconstructed
19-26.6Moderate Distribution$97,470reconstructed
20-28.1Moderate Distribution$97,769reconstructed
21-27.6Moderate Distribution$97,227reconstructed
22-25.8Moderate Distribution$95,095reconstructed
23-23.9Moderate Distribution$94,716reconstructed
24-29.3Moderate Distribution$98,614reconstructed
25-29.4Moderate Distribution$99,300reconstructed
26-29.7Moderate Distribution$95,686reconstructed
27-27.9Moderate Distribution$94,153reconstructed
28-28.2Moderate Distribution$95,145reconstructed
29-28.5Moderate Distribution$93,536reconstructed
30-22.2Moderate Distribution$92,653reconstructed
31-16.8Neutral / Transition$93,407reconstructed

← Previous month · All months · Next month →

See today’s Score · How it is calculated · Where it has failed · Version history