The NodeWitness Cycle Score in October 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -11.6 (11)
  • Monthly low: -36.9 (20)
  • Average: -25.6
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-18.4Neutral / Transition$60,839reconstructed
2-14.5Neutral / Transition$60,640reconstructed
3-13.5Neutral / Transition$60,754reconstructed
4-17.9Neutral / Transition$62,080reconstructed
5-18.6Neutral / Transition$62,065reconstructed
6-19.6Neutral / Transition$62,815reconstructed
7-19.4Neutral / Transition$62,238reconstructed
8-18.8Neutral / Transition$62,124reconstructed
9-13.9Neutral / Transition$60,574reconstructed
10-13.4Neutral / Transition$60,269reconstructed
11-11.6Neutral / Transition$62,457reconstructed
12-19.5Neutral / Transition$63,189reconstructed
13-19.3Neutral / Transition$62,843reconstructed
14-22.2Moderate Distribution$66,049reconstructed
15-31.4Moderate Distribution$67,050reconstructed
16-33.4Moderate Distribution$67,599reconstructed
17-33.9Moderate Distribution$67,402reconstructed
18-32.5Moderate Distribution$68,426reconstructed
19-36.1Moderate Distribution$68,366reconstructed
20-36.9Moderate Distribution$69,012reconstructed
21-34.2Moderate Distribution$67,363reconstructed
22-28.8Moderate Distribution$67,368reconstructed
23-30.2Moderate Distribution$66,656reconstructed
24-30.4Moderate Distribution$68,162reconstructed
25-28.5Moderate Distribution$66,640reconstructed
26-24.5Moderate Distribution$67,019reconstructed
27-33.1Moderate Distribution$67,939reconstructed
28-34.1Moderate Distribution$69,914reconstructed
29-34.6Moderate Distribution$72,706reconstructed
30-36.7Moderate Distribution$72,330reconstructed
31-34.2Moderate Distribution$70,219reconstructed

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