The NodeWitness Cycle Score in July 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -0.4 (5)
  • Monthly low: -44.4 (21)
  • Average: -24.3
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-18.8Neutral / Transition$62,845reconstructed
2-17.7Neutral / Transition$62,028reconstructed
3-15.6Neutral / Transition$60,146reconstructed
4-10.2Neutral / Transition$57,034reconstructed
5-0.4Neutral / Transition$56,649reconstructed
6-5.6Neutral / Transition$58,265reconstructed
7-2.7Neutral / Transition$55,849reconstructed
8-4.8Neutral / Transition$56,706reconstructed
9-5.6Neutral / Transition$58,012reconstructed
10-3.8Neutral / Transition$57,743reconstructed
11-5.4Neutral / Transition$57,352reconstructed
12-5.6Neutral / Transition$57,908reconstructed
13-8.5Neutral / Transition$59,231reconstructed
14-14.7Neutral / Transition$60,798reconstructed
15-25.1Moderate Distribution$64,860reconstructed
16-35.3Moderate Distribution$65,077reconstructed
17-37.1Moderate Distribution$64,105reconstructed
18-29.7Moderate Distribution$63,969reconstructed
19-34.6Moderate Distribution$66,713reconstructed
20-43.2Moderate Distribution$67,165reconstructed
21-44.4Moderate Distribution$68,156reconstructed
22-42.8Moderate Distribution$67,597reconstructed
23-41.1Moderate Distribution$65,921reconstructed
24-35.5Moderate Distribution$65,358reconstructed
25-39.3Moderate Distribution$65,791reconstructed
26-40.4Moderate Distribution$67,915reconstructed
27-40.6Moderate Distribution$67,826reconstructed
28-39.0Moderate Distribution$68,257reconstructed
29-41.3Moderate Distribution$66,777reconstructed
30-34.5Moderate Distribution$66,180reconstructed
31-29.1Moderate Distribution$64,622reconstructed

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