The NodeWitness Cycle Score in May 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -17.4 (2)
  • Monthly low: -38.3 (26)
  • Average: -30.1
  • Phase changes: 1

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-20.0Neutral / Transition$58,268reconstructed
2-17.4Neutral / Transition$59,120reconstructed
3-21.0Moderate Distribution$62,885reconstructed
4-31.7Moderate Distribution$63,902reconstructed
5-32.3Moderate Distribution$64,045reconstructed
6-29.8Moderate Distribution$63,158reconstructed
7-27.6Moderate Distribution$62,323reconstructed
8-25.7Moderate Distribution$61,182reconstructed
9-24.6Moderate Distribution$63,067reconstructed
10-28.0Moderate Distribution$60,794reconstructed
11-24.1Moderate Distribution$60,806reconstructed
12-22.4Moderate Distribution$61,449reconstructed
13-26.0Moderate Distribution$62,914reconstructed
14-27.1Moderate Distribution$61,557reconstructed
15-29.6Moderate Distribution$66,239reconstructed
16-31.9Moderate Distribution$65,232reconstructed
17-36.0Moderate Distribution$67,060reconstructed
18-30.4Moderate Distribution$66,927reconstructed
19-32.4Moderate Distribution$66,266reconstructed
20-35.7Moderate Distribution$71,443reconstructed
21-36.0Moderate Distribution$70,140reconstructed
22-37.6Moderate Distribution$69,134reconstructed
23-38.2Moderate Distribution$67,942reconstructed
24-36.4Moderate Distribution$68,532reconstructed
25-38.1Moderate Distribution$69,273reconstructed
26-38.3Moderate Distribution$68,487reconstructed
27-33.0Moderate Distribution$69,374reconstructed
28-31.5Moderate Distribution$68,290reconstructed
29-31.0Moderate Distribution$67,574reconstructed
30-28.3Moderate Distribution$68,352reconstructed
31-31.1Moderate Distribution$67,485reconstructed

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