The NodeWitness Cycle Score in March 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -45.4 (2)
  • Monthly low: -58.9 (11)
  • Average: -51.2
  • Phase changes: 0

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-46.6Moderate Distribution$62,437reconstructed
2-45.4Moderate Distribution$62,034reconstructed
3-49.3Moderate Distribution$63,168reconstructed
4-51.5Moderate Distribution$68,378reconstructed
5-55.2Moderate Distribution$63,798reconstructed
6-48.1Moderate Distribution$66,102reconstructed
7-54.2Moderate Distribution$66,937reconstructed
8-53.4Moderate Distribution$68,307reconstructed
9-55.2Moderate Distribution$68,499reconstructed
10-53.1Moderate Distribution$69,027reconstructed
11-58.9Moderate Distribution$72,121reconstructed
12-56.4Moderate Distribution$71,489reconstructed
13-57.2Moderate Distribution$73,094reconstructed
14-57.5Moderate Distribution$71,394reconstructed
15-53.3Moderate Distribution$69,496reconstructed
16-51.2Moderate Distribution$65,304reconstructed
17-51.6Moderate Distribution$68,359reconstructed
18-50.3Moderate Distribution$67,601reconstructed
19-48.5Moderate Distribution$61,919reconstructed
20-50.8Moderate Distribution$67,857reconstructed
21-49.5Moderate Distribution$65,493reconstructed
22-45.9Moderate Distribution$63,796reconstructed
23-46.0Moderate Distribution$64,083reconstructed
24-49.3Moderate Distribution$67,226reconstructed
25-49.1Moderate Distribution$69,963reconstructed
26-51.6Moderate Distribution$69,992reconstructed
27-53.2Moderate Distribution$69,447reconstructed
28-51.3Moderate Distribution$70,755reconstructed
29-49.2Moderate Distribution$69,910reconstructed
30-47.2Moderate Distribution$69,651reconstructed
31-46.8Moderate Distribution$71,332reconstructed

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