The NodeWitness Cycle Score in January 2024

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -23.2 (19)
  • Monthly low: -37.9 (11)
  • Average: -30.0
  • Phase changes: 0

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-32.3Moderate Distribution$44,176reconstructed
2-34.7Moderate Distribution$44,959reconstructed
3-33.2Moderate Distribution$42,855reconstructed
4-34.7Moderate Distribution$44,190reconstructed
5-33.3Moderate Distribution$44,181reconstructed
6-30.8Moderate Distribution$43,976reconstructed
7-29.6Moderate Distribution$43,928reconstructed
8-32.6Moderate Distribution$46,972reconstructed
9-36.3Moderate Distribution$46,143reconstructed
10-35.6Moderate Distribution$46,649reconstructed
11-37.9Moderate Distribution$46,356reconstructed
12-33.2Moderate Distribution$42,844reconstructed
13-30.1Moderate Distribution$42,837reconstructed
14-26.2Moderate Distribution$41,716reconstructed
15-24.0Moderate Distribution$42,498reconstructed
16-29.2Moderate Distribution$43,132reconstructed
17-27.6Moderate Distribution$42,743reconstructed
18-27.8Moderate Distribution$41,263reconstructed
19-23.2Moderate Distribution$41,620reconstructed
20-24.8Moderate Distribution$41,659reconstructed
21-25.9Moderate Distribution$41,558reconstructed
22-25.0Moderate Distribution$39,505reconstructed
23-24.7Moderate Distribution$39,856reconstructed
24-23.6Moderate Distribution$40,069reconstructed
25-26.5Moderate Distribution$39,926reconstructed
26-28.9Moderate Distribution$41,813reconstructed
27-32.3Moderate Distribution$42,124reconstructed
28-31.7Moderate Distribution$42,031reconstructed
29-31.4Moderate Distribution$43,275reconstructed
30-32.1Moderate Distribution$42,951reconstructed
31-30.5Moderate Distribution$42,557reconstructed

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