The NodeWitness Cycle Score in October 2019

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -7.0 (24)
  • Monthly low: -33.0 (29)
  • Average: -21.7
  • Phase changes: 8

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-25.7Moderate Distribution$8,323reconstructed
2-25.3Moderate Distribution$8,382reconstructed
3-22.4Moderate Distribution$8,236reconstructed
4-18.5Neutral / Transition$8,155reconstructed
5-17.9Neutral / Transition$8,148reconstructed
6-16.8Neutral / Transition$7,870reconstructed
7-16.1Neutral / Transition$8,212reconstructed
8-21.6Moderate Distribution$8,190reconstructed
9-20.7Moderate Distribution$8,588reconstructed
10-23.6Moderate Distribution$8,587reconstructed
11-20.4Moderate Distribution$8,270reconstructed
12-18.8Neutral / Transition$8,308reconstructed
13-19.4Neutral / Transition$8,284reconstructed
14-19.0Neutral / Transition$8,354reconstructed
15-19.9Neutral / Transition$8,162reconstructed
16-19.0Neutral / Transition$8,003reconstructed
17-20.6Moderate Distribution$8,077reconstructed
18-19.5Neutral / Transition$7,954reconstructed
19-20.0Neutral / Transition$7,960reconstructed
20-19.5Neutral / Transition$8,231reconstructed
21-22.0Moderate Distribution$8,223reconstructed
22-21.6Moderate Distribution$8,027reconstructed
23-17.3Neutral / Transition$7,470reconstructed
24-7.0Neutral / Transition$7,432reconstructed
25-13.6Neutral / Transition$8,667reconstructed
26-30.1Moderate Distribution$9,260reconstructed
27-30.3Moderate Distribution$9,552reconstructed
28-30.9Moderate Distribution$9,219reconstructed
29-33.0Moderate Distribution$9,433reconstructed
30-31.0Moderate Distribution$9,165reconstructed
31-30.5Moderate Distribution$9,148reconstructed

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