The NodeWitness Cycle Score in August 2019

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: -4.6 (22)
  • Monthly low: -45.4 (5)
  • Average: -23.7
  • Phase changes: 7

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-33.5Moderate Distribution$10,407reconstructed
2-38.3Moderate Distribution$10,530reconstructed
3-38.7Moderate Distribution$10,815reconstructed
4-41.6Moderate Distribution$10,980reconstructed
5-45.4Moderate Distribution$11,788reconstructed
6-43.2Moderate Distribution$11,466reconstructed
7-31.4Moderate Distribution$11,961reconstructed
8-37.8Moderate Distribution$11,996reconstructed
9-36.4Moderate Distribution$11,857reconstructed
10-33.4Moderate Distribution$11,282reconstructed
11-29.4Moderate Distribution$11,567reconstructed
12-29.9Moderate Distribution$11,386reconstructed
13-27.1Moderate Distribution$10,858reconstructed
14-8.5Neutral / Transition$10,017reconstructed
15-9.8Neutral / Transition$10,302reconstructed
16-18.7Neutral / Transition$10,359reconstructed
17-11.2Neutral / Transition$10,215reconstructed
18-9.5Neutral / Transition$10,318reconstructed
19-19.9Neutral / Transition$10,917reconstructed
20-22.8Moderate Distribution$10,761reconstructed
21-6.0Neutral / Transition$10,129reconstructed
22-4.6Neutral / Transition$10,112reconstructed
23-19.1Neutral / Transition$10,406reconstructed
24-21.4Moderate Distribution$10,144reconstructed
25-19.8Neutral / Transition$10,135reconstructed
26-24.6Moderate Distribution$10,360reconstructed
27-18.9Neutral / Transition$10,172reconstructed
28-18.1Neutral / Transition$9,718reconstructed
29-11.9Neutral / Transition$9,485reconstructed
30-12.4Neutral / Transition$9,578reconstructed
31-10.8Neutral / Transition$9,601reconstructed

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