The NodeWitness Cycle Score in October 2018

One page per month with the daily NodeWitness Cycle Score, the cycle phase it marked, and the reference Bitcoin price. Individual days are linkable.

  • Monthly high: +14.1 (12)
  • Monthly low: -3.0 (1)
  • Average: +6.8
  • Phase changes: 0

What this series actually is

This page combines two series. Through August 1, 2026 (July 12 aside) the values are a reconstruction: computed today, backwards, from the indicators with enough history — 7 of the 10 that feed the live Score, which is why their confidence sits near 60% against roughly 95% today. They show how the indicator would have behaved, not what we said at the time. Since August 2, 2026 we have stored the published value every day without gaps, the one actually shown on the site, and that is the one that wins where it exists. The Source column says which is which, row by row. This is a separate record from the indicator values behind the Score, which have been frozen daily since July 8, 2026.

The Source column separates two things that are not the same: published is the value actually shown on the site that day; reconstructed comes from recomputing the past with the indicators that have continuous history (7 of 10), which is why its confidence is lower. Where a published value exists, that is the one shown.

DateScorePhaseBTC priceSource
1-3.0Neutral / Transition$6,587reconstructed
2+0.7Neutral / Transition$6,521reconstructed
3-1.3Neutral / Transition$6,484reconstructed
4+2.1Neutral / Transition$6,568reconstructed
5+1.6Neutral / Transition$6,621reconstructed
6+5.6Neutral / Transition$6,574reconstructed
7+5.4Neutral / Transition$6,589reconstructed
8+7.0Neutral / Transition$6,641reconstructed
9+5.0Neutral / Transition$6,627reconstructed
10+4.3Neutral / Transition$6,581reconstructed
11+8.8Neutral / Transition$6,208reconstructed
12+14.1Neutral / Transition$6,247reconstructed
13+12.3Neutral / Transition$6,266reconstructed
14+14.0Neutral / Transition$6,265reconstructed
15+9.1Neutral / Transition$6,599reconstructed
16+10.2Neutral / Transition$6,616reconstructed
17+10.9Neutral / Transition$6,596reconstructed
18+10.0Neutral / Transition$6,510reconstructed
19+9.3Neutral / Transition$6,464reconstructed
20+10.1Neutral / Transition$6,505reconstructed
21+11.1Neutral / Transition$6,505reconstructed
22+7.0Neutral / Transition$6,494reconstructed
23+8.4Neutral / Transition$6,477reconstructed
24+13.5Neutral / Transition$6,490reconstructed
25+9.3Neutral / Transition$6,466reconstructed
26+7.0Neutral / Transition$6,472reconstructed
27+5.7Neutral / Transition$6,457reconstructed
28+4.0Neutral / Transition$6,449reconstructed
29+3.2Neutral / Transition$6,308reconstructed
30+3.6Neutral / Transition$6,302reconstructed
31+1.2Neutral / Transition$6,339reconstructed

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